Since early January 2026, Cuba has experienced a rapid deterioration in fuel availability and a shortage of critical supplies, especially food and medicine. An estimated nine million people have been affected, as fuel scarcity has disrupted electricity generation and transport systems in all regions of the country.

This report analyses how escalating organised crime-related violence in Guayas and Los Ríos increased protection risks for women and girls, particularly femicide, sexual violence, exploitation, trafficking, early unions, recruitment, and displacement, in 2025.

This report aims to analyse the potential humanitarian impacts and drivers of a deterioration in the humanitarian situation in Vichada department, Colombia, between May–August 2026, when national elections and climate events are expected to occur. 

Between 25 March and 6 April 2026, severe flooding affected over 73,300 people across 165 districts in 31 of Afghanistan’s 34 provinces – about one-third of the country’s total territory

On 28 March, the DFA launched a ballistic missile towards central Israel, marking their first reported attack since the onset of the conflict involving the US, Israel, and Iran. The Houthis stated that they would continue to conduct unspecified operations until the US and Israel cease military actions against Iran and its allies in the region

The scenarios presented in this report describe three distinct yet plausible futures for Ukraine through the end of 2026, focusing on how context changes could affect people’s ability to meet basic needs and the operating environment for humanitarian responders.

This report is part of a series on localised vulnerability in Afghanistan, made possible with the support and coordination of the Afghanistan Protection Cluster and its members.

This report aims to inform the humanitarian community and decision makers interested in the Sudanese context of recent humanitarian access developments, emerging trends, and anticipatory access risks in the Darfur and Kordofan regions. It is an update to this April 2025 report

This report uses descriptive, explanatory, and anticipatory analysis to help decision makers understand the scale of the ripple effects from the war, dividing the impacts into four themes:

- energy and water security

- economy, shipping disruption, and food security

- conflict and social cohesion

- humanitarian needs, gaps, and access.

By 12 March 2026, an estimated 3.2 million Iranians had been temporarily internally displaced following coordinated airstrikes targeting Iran’s military, nuclear, and strategic infrastructure launched by the United States and Israel on 28 February, marking the beginning of a major regional escalation.

This report analyses the humanitarian consequences of a marked escalation in violence against civilians in Niger’s western regions in 2025, reflected in both an increase in the number of incidents and a sharp rise in fatalities in events coded as violence against civilians.

Food security in Yemen remains dire. In December 2025, 64% of households were unable to meet minimum food needs, with severe food deprivation affecting 37% of the population nationwide and higher prevalence in the Government of Yemen (GoY)-controlled areas of Ma’rib (55%), Ad Dali’ (48%), and Abyan (45%) and the Ansar Allah (AA)-controlled areas of Al Bayda (46%) and Al Jawf (44%).

This report is part of a series on localised vulnerability in Afghanistan, made possible with the support and coordination of the Afghanistan Protection Cluster and its members. The purpose of a localised approach is to identify location-specific causes and manifestations of vulnerability to unmet needs and better understand how people experience and mitigate them.

This anticipatory analysis aims to alert humanitarian responders to the potential humanitarian implications of the indefinite partial closure of Gaza’s border crossings and how a collapse of the ceasefire would further aggravate needs. 

On 1 March 2026, Israel launched a military offensive on Lebanese territory mainly targeting southern Lebanon. By 4 March, Israeli air strikes had killed at least 72 people and injured 437.

Clashes between the Interim Taliban Authority (ITA) forces and the Pakistani military have escalated since 21 February, with both parties engaging in fighting along the Durand Line 

This report is part of a series on localised vulnerability in Afghanistan, made possible with the support and coordination of the Afghanistan Protection Cluster and its members. Reports in the series include analyses of districts in Herat, Baghlan (forthcoming) and Nangarhar (forthcoming) provinces.

By 13 February 2026, renewed conflict in Jonglei state had displaced at least 280,000 people, with population movements accelerating as front lines shifted across northern counties.

Tropical Cyclone Gezani made landfall in Madagascar on 11 February 2026 as a Category 3 tropical cyclone, hitting the Ankazobe district of the Analamanga region. The cyclone has generated sustained winds of up to 180km/h, gusts estimated at up to 250km/h, intense rainfall, and coastal flooding.

Since 25 October 2025, conflict between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) in the Greater Kordofan region of Sudan has sparked widespread displacement. After RSF’s October 2025 takeover of Al Fasher, North Darfur, from SAF, the Kordofan states have emerged as the new front lines as RSF and allied groups look to expand their areas of control.