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Date

Country

Worsening energy shortages and US pressure lead to essential service disruptions and rising humanitarian needs in Cuba

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Date

Country

Direct US–Iran military confrontation causes mass civilian casualties in Iran and regional conflict spillover, leading to displacement and service collapse

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Date

Country

Water scarcity, especially in northeast and northwest Syria result in livelihoods and services’ disruptions, reduced food production and protests 

Risk type

Date

Country

Further Israeli expansion in southern Syria triggers armed group resistance, displacement, and heightened food insecurity

Risk type

Date

Country

Escalating tensions around universal suffrage in Somalia heightens conflict and instability ahead of the 2026 elections

Risk type