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Country analysis

Sudan


The number of people estimated to need humanitarian assistance across the country in 2023 has jumped from 15.8 million to 24.7 million following the clashes that erupted between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) in multiple areas of Sudan on 15 April. Drivers of the crisis include political instability following the military takeover on 25 October 2021 and the onset of conflict on 15 April 2023, a socioeconomic crisis characterised by high inflation rates and currency depreciation, and food insecurity affecting at least a quarter of the population, projected to further deteriorate.

As at February 2024, the recent conflict in April had displaced more than 9 million people inside Sudan and 1.7 million people to neighbouring countries, mainly Chad, Egypt, Ethiopia, and South Sudan. Intercommunal clashes and violence in some areas of the country, mostly in Darfur and Kordofan regions, also contribute to the high numbers of internal and cross-border displacements.

The flood season usually affects Sudan between June–September, driving displacement and increasing humanitarian needs. There are nearly 962,000 refugees in Sudan as at 31 December 2023. The conflict between SAF and RSF has affected these refugees. (OCHA 07/11/2022, OCHA 04/02/2024, IOM 07/02/2024, UNHCR accessed 09/02/2024, OCHA 17/05/2023)

The number of people estimated to need humanitarian assistance across the country in 2023 has jumped from 15.8 million to 24.7 million following the clashes that erupted between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) in multiple areas of Sudan on 15 April. Drivers of the crisis include political instability following the military takeover on 25 October 2021 and the onset of conflict on 15 April 2023, a socioeconomic crisis characterised by high inflation rates and currency depreciation, and food insecurity affecting at least a quarter of the population, projected to further deteriorate.

As at February 2024, the recent conflict in April had displaced more than 9 million people inside Sudan and 1.7 million people to neighbouring countries, mainly Chad, Egypt, Ethiopia, and South Sudan. Intercommunal clashes and violence in some areas of the country, mostly in Darfur and Kordofan regions, also contribute to the high numbers of internal and cross-border displacements.

The flood season usually affects Sudan between June–September, driving displacement and increasing humanitarian needs. There are nearly 962,000 refugees in Sudan as at 31 December 2023. The conflict between SAF and RSF has affected these refugees. (OCHA 07/11/2022, OCHA 04/02/2024, IOM 07/02/2024, UNHCR accessed 09/02/2024, OCHA 17/05/2023)

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Latest updates on country situation

27 August 2024

On 25 August 2024, heavy rainfall led to the collapse of the Arba’at Dam in Red Sea state, affecting 50,000 people residing in the western side of the dam, mostly in Port Sudan city, and killing at least 60. The dam is an important water source for Port Sudan, and its collapse has likely affected water access. The affected people need water, food, and shelter. (OCHA 26/08/2024, AJ 26/08/2024)

06 August 2024

A July 2024 review of IPC analyses has confirmed Famine (IPC Phase 5) conditions in parts of North Darfur state, particularly in Zamzam displacement camp outside Al Fasher city. The at least 500,000 people residing in the camp urgently need food, water, healthcare, nutrition, and shelter. Abu Shouk and Al Salam camps in Al Fasher also likely face similar conditions. In total, IPC 5 conditions threaten 14 locations. Confirming these conditions in Sudan means that an estimated 20% of households are likely facing extreme food shortages and 30% of children are suffering from acute malnutrition. It also indicates reports of deaths from starvation. Humanitarian aid delivery restrictions and impediments by conflict parties continue to contribute to the increasing food insecurity levels across the country. (IPC 01/08/2024, WFP 01/08/2024, UN 01/08/2024)

31 July 2024

On 26 July 2024, heavy rainfall and flooding in Kassala state affected nearly 10,200 people (mostly IDPs from Sennar state), including five deaths. The floods significantly damaged homes and sanitation facilities, aggravating the risk of waterborne diseases, and around 400 shelters in refugee camps located in Shagarab. The affected people need relocation, food, and water. (OCHA 28/07/2024, UNHCR 29/07/2024)

03 July 2024

Food insecurity in Sudan is quickly deteriorating. More than half the population (26.5 million) is projected to face Crisis (IPC Phase 3) or worse food insecurity between June–September 2024, an increase from 21 million between April–May. About 755,000 people are facing Catastrophic (IPC Phase 5) levels and need urgent assistance. The most affected areas are the Darfur and Kordofan states, Aj Jazirah, and some parts of Khartoum. Conflict and displacement are driving the deterioration by limiting agricultural production, livelihoods, and market access. Humanitarian access restrictions and armed group interference in aid delivery also aggravate the situation. For instance, on 30 June, unidentified armed men attacked a UN truck carrying food aid heading to Central Darfur state, limiting people’s food access. (IPC 27/06/2024 a, IPC 27/06/2024 b, UN 02/07/2024)

29 May 2024

At least 800,000 people in Al Fasher, North Darfur, continue to face the impact of clashes between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces that escalated in mid-April 2024, peaking on 10 May. South Hospital has since received 1,000 patients, 145 of whom have succumbed to injuries. All three major medical facilities have been damaged, with South Hospital first hit on 25 May and the paediatric hospital damaged on 11 May. They are the only remaining functional hospitals and are quickly running out of supplies. An unknown number of people have been displaced. A 22 May attack on Abu Shouk camp, which hosts about 100,000 people, displaced more than 60% of its population. Basic needs such as food and water are in very short supply. Humanitarian access continues to be highly restricted, with insecurity, checkpoints, and roadblocks preventing people from leaving and aid from entering. (UN 24/05/2024, MSF 29/05/2024, Reuters 24/05/2024)

15 April 2024

On 13 April 2024, clashes escalated in Al Fasher city, North Darfur state, involving the Rapid Support Forces, the Sudanese Armed Forces, and other armed groups, increasing the risk of violence expanding across the state. Six villages were burnt down in western Al Fasher, and at least ten civilians were killed. This escalation of violence will likely further hinder aid delivery across Darfur region, as Al Fasher is considered a humanitarian hub for international organisations. North Darfur has also seen limited clashes since the start of the conflict in April 2023, and it has been hosting over 574,000 displaced people in school buildings and open areas. Al Fasher hosted at least 100,000 people as at 4 April 2024. Clashes have likely led to new displacement, but exact figures remain unclear. (UNSG 15/04/2024, PressTV 15/04/2024, IOM 15/04/2024)

19 March 2024

In 2024, over 3.7 million children are estimated to be suffering from malnutrition, with 729,000 children under five likely facing severe acute malnutrition and needing food and malnutrition treatment services. About 230,000 children, pregnant women, and new mothers will likely be at risk of dying because of hunger throughout the year. (STC 11/03/2024, OCHA 13/03/2024)

current crises
in Sudan


These crises have been identified through the INFORM Severity Index, a tool for measuring and comparing the severity of humanitarian crises globally.

Read more about the Index

SDN001 - Complex crisis

Last updated 25/09/2024


Drivers

Displacement
Violence
Floods

Crisis level

Country

Severity level

4.9 Very High

Access constraints

5.0

SDN005 - Refugees

Last updated 25/09/2024


Drivers

Displacement

Crisis level

Country

Severity level

3.2 High

Access constraints

4.0

Analysis products
on Sudan

Sudan Scenarios (2024 - 2025)

07 October 2024

Sudan Scenarios (2024 - 2025)

DOCUMENT / PDF / 3 MB

A region-by-region analysis of possible developments affecting humanitarian needs and operations in Sudan until December 2025.

Anticipatory analysisAudio

Attached resources

Sudan situational update: Khartoum state

14 August 2024

Sudan situational update: Khartoum state

DOCUMENT / PDF / 404 KB

The Sudanese capital of Khartoum has been the epicentre of the war between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) that started on 15 April 2023. The eruption of violence in the capital effected a widespread disruption of social and administrative order.

Conflict and violence
Sudan: Food security situation

07 August 2024

Sudan: Food security situation

DOCUMENT / PDF / 900 KB

This report aims to highlight the food security situation in Sudan, focusing on the drivers of the crisis to analyse how it developed. It also aims to identify vulnerabilities among the affected populations to potentially target and prioritise aid.
 

AudioFood security & livelihoods

Attached resources

Ethiopia: situation and needs of Sudanese refugees in Amhara region

05 July 2024

Ethiopia: situation and needs of Sudanese refugees in Amhara region

DOCUMENT / PDF / 529 KB

This report analyses the humanitarian needs of Sudanese refugees hosted at the Kumer and Awlala refugee camps, those who left and are sheltering outside, and the factors aggravating the situation in order to support humanitarian decision-making. 

AudioDisplacement

Attached resources

Sudan: anticipated impacts of the rainy season

20 June 2024

Sudan: anticipated impacts of the rainy season

DOCUMENT / PDF / 2 MB

Sudan is anticipating severe humanitarian challenges during the 2024 rainy season, influenced by conflict and environmental factors. The seasonal forecast predicts above-average rainfall and higher-than-average temperatures across southern and central states, with potential La Niña conditions enhancing the rainy season from August–September. 

Anticipatory analysisNatural hazards
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