2022

Ukraine: context and trends analysis May – July 2022
Created: 12/09/2022 +

Overview

Between May–July 2022, conflict continued destroying civilian infrastructure, disrupting services, and causing civilian casualties and displacement. In late June, conflict intensified in Donetsk oblast, increasing the number of violent incidents involving civilians. Despite an overall decrease in the number of IDPs, displacement from southern and eastern oblasts has increased, especially starting mid-June. Humanitarian access remains the most constrained in all oblasts along the frontlines (Donetsk, Kharkiv, Kherson, Luhansk, Mykolaiv, and Zaporizhzhia).

This report is the first in a series of periodic ACAPS reports capturing key recent developments and analysing humanitarian trends in the most crisis-affected oblasts of Ukraine. This report in particular discusses the May–July analysis period. 

Ukraine: Winterisation needs and response
Created: 30/08/2022 +

Overview

An estimated 1.7 million people need winterisation assistance before the upcoming colder temperatures in Ukraine. Temperatures are expected to start dropping in October and reach their lowest in January–February. The conflict resulting from the Russian invasion that began on 24 February 2022 has damaged homes, as well as gas, electricity, and heating infrastructure, putting additional people at risk of having insufficient heating or insulation to deal with harsh winter conditions. The situation is particularly concerning for IDPs living in collective centres and people living in damaged homes or homes needing renovation, especially in rural areas.

Ukraine: Impact of confict on education
Created: 18/08/2022 +

Overview

Since the start of the Russian invasion in February 2022, conflict has affected an estimated 5.7 million school-aged children in Ukraine (ages 3–18). Displacement, the damage and destruction of educational facilities, and a lack of access to technology and internet connection have seriously affected students’ ability to learn and caused significant challenges to the reopening of schools. 

This report aims to highlight the impact of the conflict on education within Ukraine and the main challenges the education system will face in the next school year - set to start on 1 September.

Ukraine: Return movement dynamics
Created: 07/07/2022 +

Overview

The Russian invasion of Ukraine that began on 24 February 2022 has displaced one-third of the country’s population. Over 6.2 million people remain internally displaced within Ukraine, and there were over 5.6 million Ukrainian refugees recorded across Europe in early July. Reports suggest that displaced populations have been moving back to their place of habitual residence in Ukraine since May, although it is unclear how sustainable and permanent the return may be. This report looks at their motivations for moving back, presents the scale of their movement and the main locations involved, and provides a comprehensive overview of their humanitarian situation. 
 

Ukraine: humanitarian access constraints at the oblast level
Created: 01/07/2022 +

Overview

This report provides an oblast-level analysis of access constraints in Ukraine to inform humanitarian responders and provide a comparison of access dynamics across different oblasts. This analysis is based on a severity model developed by ACAPS using the internal data collection of publicly available secondary sources as at 20 June 2022. Key informant interviews also complement this model.

Ukraine: Bridging humanitarian response
Created: 25/05/2022 +

Overview

Since the beginning of the Russian invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, a wide range of responders, both established organisations and first-time relief providers, have emerged to address the growing needs. At the national level, the Government of Ukraine (GoU) is attempting to centralise the reception and coordination of aid. At the oblast and local levels, the GoU, Oblast Military Administrations (OMAs), and hromadas (municipalities), alongside national and local NGOs and the Ukrainian Red Cross Society, have been distributing and providing aid to the affected population. 

Poland: Refugee influx from Ukraine
Created: 25/05/2022 +

Overview

Approximately 3.5 million people have arrived in Poland from Ukraine since 24 February 2022. This number corresponds to roughly 53% of the 6.5 million people who have fled Ukraine because of the war. Although many Ukrainians choose Poland as a destination because of its cultural and linguistic proximity, the vast length of its border, and a large Ukrainian diaspora already living in the country, it is uncertain how many migrants and refugees intend to stay in Poland and how many have already moved to other locations.

Ukraine: Humanitarian situation in Kharkiv, Luhansk, and Donetsk
Created: 19/04/2022 +

Overview

Donetsk, Kharkiv, and Luhansk oblasts have recorded around 50% of all reported conflict events in Ukraine since the beginning of the war on 24 February 2022. Together with high access constraints, the situation has led to severe information gaps around the needs and living conditions of people remaining in these oblasts. This report provides an overview of the humanitarian situation in these areas and highlights critical needs and information gaps. We have reviewed secondary data from public and non-public sources, and between 1–15 April, the team conducted key informant interviews with Ukrainian civil society members.

Hungary: Ukrainian refugees
Created: 01/04/2022 +

Overview

As at 28 March 2022, more than four million people had crossed international borders since the start of the hostilities in Ukraine on 24 February 2022. In early March, UNHCR projected at least 250,000 Ukrainians arriving in Hungary by July 2022 as a result of the conflict. On 24 March, this projection had already more than doubled with 522,100 arrivals. The rapid influx of migrants and refugees into the country has already posed a challenge to reception capacities, which the Hungarian Government has reduced in recent years to discourage migration.

Ukraine: Movement patterns, people's needs and response
Created: 29/03/2022 +

Overview

After more than one month, the Russian military offensive against Ukraine has displaced almost a quarter of the country’s estimated population of 44.13 million. Around 3.72 million have had to flee the country, while around 6.47 million are estimated to be internally displaced. As at 10 March 2022, around 12.65 million people were unable or unwilling to leave conflict-affected areas. Figures on the movement of people are likely to change, with areas of active conflict especially in its eastern, northern, and southern regions and Kyiv. Attacks on civilian infrastructure continue to endanger civilian lives. 

Moldova: Ukrainian refugees
Created: 14/03/2022 +

Overview

On 24 February 2022, the Russian Government announced a large-scale military operation against Ukraine. As at 8 March 2022, the Ukrainian Government had reported attacks in ten regions. The Russian army controlled zones in four regions in the north (Chernihiv, Kharkiv, Kyiv, and Sumy), three in the east (Donetsk, Luhansk, and Zaporizhia), and two in the south (Kherson and Mykolaiv). As at 12 March 2022, the OHCHR recorded 1,581 civilian casualties, with 579 people killed and 1,002 injured. Although the Russian advance on Ukraine has been slower than expected, according to the Ukrainian Government, more than 2,698,280 civilians had left Ukraine as at 13 March 2022.

Eastern Ukraine: current humanitarian crisis and outlook
Created: 17/02/2022 +

Overview

This report explores the possible impacts of escalating tensions between Russia and Ukraine on the humanitarian situation in Donbas and potentially the rest of the country. It presents the response capacity and various operational constraints faced by responders. It also analyses the factors that may increase needs and potential key humanitarian concerns in the coming months. The analysis is based on interviews of experts on Ukraine and the humanitarian crisis and a review of publicly available data and published reports or media sources up to 15 February 2022.

2021

CrisisInSIght: Global Risk Analysis
Created: 26/03/2021 +

Overview

ACAPS Global Risk Analysis outlines a number of key contexts where a notable deterioration may occur within the next six months, leading to a spike in humanitarian needs. We continue to monitor closely the risks identified in order to establish how they have evolved and if they have materialised. You can find the updates of the risks identified in Global Risk Report – October 2020 at the end of this analysis. The objective is to enable humanitarian decisionmakers to understand potential changes that could have humanitarian consequences. By exposing the possible developments and understanding their impact, these potential changes can be taken into account in planning and preparedness.

To improve our humanitarian analysis and the way we work kindly take this survey on our latest Global Risk Analysis. Please complete it by Monday 19 April COB.

2019

Ukraine: Conflict in Donetsk and Luhansk
Created: 04/11/2019 +

Overview

Since 2014, persisting armed conflict between the Ukrainian government and pro-Russian separatists in Donetsk and Luhansk provinces (oblasts) in eastern Ukraine has caused over 3,000 civilian deaths, some 9,000 casualties, and internally displaced about 1.3 million people. Currently an estimated 5.2 million are affected by the conflict in eastern Ukraine, in particular people living within 20km on each side of the contact line that divides government-controlled areas (GCA) and non-government-controlled areas (NGCA).

Humanitarian Access Overview
Created: 31/10/2019 +

Overview

ACAPS Humanitarian Access Overview provides a snapshot of the contexts where humanitarian action faces the biggest constraints. Our analysts have scored each context on nine variables in order to rank and compare humanitarian access worldwide. Crisis affected populations in about 60 countries are not getting the humanitarian assistance they need due to access constraints. Eight new countries were included in the ranking since the last ACAPS HumanitarianAccess report released in May 2019. Among the indicators, ‘Physical constraints’ and ‘Restrictions and obstruction to services and assistance’ are the most common challenges. This report presents the score boards for all the countries assessed. Narratives are provided only for countries with high, very high, or extreme constraints.

Humanitarian Access Overview
Created: 02/05/2019 +

Overview

We looked into nine indicators to rank and compare the humanitarian access levels worldwide. Affected populations in more than 50 countries are not getting proper humanitarian assistance due to access constraints. Humanitarian access has deteriorated in Colombia, Iraq, Myanmar, Nigeria, Pakistan, and Somalia over the past six months. 13 new countries entered the ranking since the latest ACAPS Humanitarian Access report released in August 2018. Physical constraints and restriction/obstruction of access to services and assistance are the most common challenges.

2018

CrisisInSight: Global Risk Analysis
Created: 17/12/2018 +

Overview

The Global risk analysis outlines 18 contexts where a significant deterioration is expected to occur within the next six to nine months, leading to a spike in humanitarian needs. This report comes as a result of ACAPS daily monitoring and independent analysis of the globe to support evidence-based decision-making in the humanitarian sector.

Considering the diversity and complexity of the crises, combined with the number of contexts included in the report, it has not been possible to cover each crisis in detail. Instead, we have highlighted the broad evolution of the crises to flag potential deteriorations and inform operational, strategic, and policy decision-makers.

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Humanitarian Access Overview
Created: 09/08/2018 +

Overview

This report compares current humanitarian crises based on their level of humanitarian access. Affected populations in more than 40 countries are not getting proper humanitarian assistance due to access constraints. Out of 44 countries included in the report, nearly half of them are currently facing critical humanitarian access constraints, with four countries (Eritrea, Syria, Venezuela, and Yemen) being considered as inaccessible. Moderate humanitarian access constraints are an issue in eight countries, and 15 face low humanitarian access constraints.

Humanitarian Access Overview
Created: 14/03/2018 +

Overview

Our methodology uses 9 indicators grouped in 3 categories:
-    Access of humanitarian actors to affected population
-    Access of people in need to humanitarian aid
-    Security and physical constraints
Each category is measured through proxy indicators, such as violence against personnel, denial of needs, or active hostilities.
Data is collected at the country level and may therefore not show disparities between sub-regions.

Read the Humanitarian Access Overview in Spanish

Read the Humanitarian Access Overview in French

 

2017

Humanitarian Access Overview
Created: 17/08/2017 +

Overview

Our methodology uses 9 indicators grouped in 3 categories:
-    Access of humanitarian actors to affected population
-    Access of people in need to humanitarian aid
-    Security and physical constraints
Each category is measured through proxy indicators, such as violence against personnel, denial of needs, or active hostilities.
Data is collected at the country level and may therefore not show disparities between sub-regions.

2016

Crisis Overview 2015: Humanitarian Trends and Risks for 2016
Created: 22/04/2016 +

Overview

The Crisis Overview 2015: Humanitarian Trends and Risks for 2016, outlines the countries considered to be in greatest humanitarian need as we approach the end of 2015.

Based on our weekly Global Emergency Overview (GEO), and three years of data on humanitarian needs across 150 countries, we have identified eleven countries where humanitarian needs are likely to be highest in 2016, as well as seven that merit attention, as they face a potential spike in needs. A final section considers the potential impact of the current El Niño event across a number of regions.

 

 

Ukraine Multi-­‐Sector Needs  Assessment  (MSNA) report
Created: 22/04/2016 +

Overview

The Multi-­‐Sector Needs Assessment (MSNA) provides an overview of needs in Eastern Ukraine, based on reports from households (HHs) and key informants (KIs). It is an initiative of the Ukraine NGO Forum to seek greater understanding of needs across the affected area. The support of ACAPS1 was requested the for this. The assessment covered the five eastern oblasts in an attempt to provide a more comprehensive overview of the humanitarian situation than was available. This would help identify the overall priorities and needs by using a consistent approach across all 5 oblasts so that findings could be compared. It did not focus on assessing only the areas known to be worst impacted by the crisis, rather it considered the entire area (including badly affected areas)2. The assessment uses three distinct areas and the target population in them as the basis for the analysis, and presents information based on key differences between them:

• IDPs living in Dnipropetrovsk, Kharkiv and Zaparizhia, oblasts not affected by active fighting but host to a large number of IDPs.

• IDPs living in areas that remain under the control of the GoU in Donetsk and Luhansk.

• People living in parts of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts that are under the control of non-­‐government actors (both IDPs and people in their place or origin).