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Severity level
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Risk level
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latest RISK Updates

Active
Medium
Date
04-02-2026
Country
Cuba

Worsening energy shortages and US pressure lead to essential service disruptions and rising humanitarian needs in Cuba

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis
Active
High
Date
25-02-2026
Country
Iran

Direct US–Iran military confrontation causes mass civilian casualties in Iran and regional conflict spillover, leading to displacement and service collapse

Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
Medium
Date
23-07-2025
Country
Syria

Water scarcity, especially in northeast and northwest Syria result in livelihoods and services’ disruptions, reduced food production and protests 

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis
Active
Medium
Date
22-07-2025
Country
Syria

Further Israeli expansion in southern Syria triggers armed group resistance, displacement, and heightened food insecurity

Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
High
Date
10-09-2025
Country
Somalia

Escalating tensions around universal suffrage in Somalia heightens conflict and instability ahead of the 2026 elections

Risk type
New emerging risk

ALL ACTIVE RISKs

Click below to see all active risks All risks
Active
Medium
Date
04-02-2026
Country
Cuba

Worsening energy shortages and US pressure lead to essential service disruptions and rising humanitarian needs in Cuba

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis
Active
High
Date
25-02-2026
Country
Iran

Direct US–Iran military confrontation causes mass civilian casualties in Iran and regional conflict spillover, leading to displacement and service collapse

Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
Medium
Date
23-07-2025
Country
Syria

Water scarcity, especially in northeast and northwest Syria result in livelihoods and services’ disruptions, reduced food production and protests 

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis
Active
Medium
Date
22-07-2025
Country
Syria

Further Israeli expansion in southern Syria triggers armed group resistance, displacement, and heightened food insecurity

Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
High
Date
10-09-2025
Country
Somalia

Escalating tensions around universal suffrage in Somalia heightens conflict and instability ahead of the 2026 elections

Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
High
Date
11-09-2025
Country
Iran

Rising water scarcity in Iran leads to a deterioration in health, food security, and livelihood needs

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis
Active
Medium
Date
22-07-2025
Country
Syria

A prolonged Syria–Lebanon border conflict results in displacement and increases shelter and livelihood needs

Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
Medium
Date
22-07-2025
Country
Syria

Escalations between loyalists to former President Bashar Al Assad and Sunni armed groups result in internal and cross-border displacement

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis

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