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Risk level
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latest RISK Updates

Active
Medium
Date
24-02-2026
Country
Libya

A contested electoral process heightens localised armed clashes, displacement, and service disruptions

Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
High
Date
23-02-2026
Country
Lebanon

Potential Hezbollah–Israel escalation related to Israeli/United States attack on Iran results in increased internal displacement, cross-border movements, and worsening food insecurity

Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
Medium
Date
04-02-2026
Country
Cuba

Worsening energy shortages and US pressure lead to essential service disruptions and rising humanitarian needs in Cuba

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis
Active
High
Date
25-02-2026
Country
Iran

Direct US–Iran military confrontation causes mass civilian casualties in Iran and regional conflict spillover, leading to displacement and service collapse

Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
Medium
Date
23-02-2026
Country
Egypt

Potential Red Sea disruptions from a US–Iran conflict reduce foreign currency earnings, heighten food insecurity, and disrupt services across Egypt

Risk type
New emerging risk

ALL ACTIVE RISKs

Click below to see all active risks All risks
Active
Medium
Date
24-02-2026
Country
Libya

A contested electoral process heightens localised armed clashes, displacement, and service disruptions

Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
High
Date
23-02-2026
Country
Lebanon

Potential Hezbollah–Israel escalation related to Israeli/United States attack on Iran results in increased internal displacement, cross-border movements, and worsening food insecurity

Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
Medium
Date
04-02-2026
Country
Cuba

Worsening energy shortages and US pressure lead to essential service disruptions and rising humanitarian needs in Cuba

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis
Active
High
Date
25-02-2026
Country
Iran

Direct US–Iran military confrontation causes mass civilian casualties in Iran and regional conflict spillover, leading to displacement and service collapse

Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
Medium
Date
23-02-2026
Country
Egypt

Potential Red Sea disruptions from a US–Iran conflict reduce foreign currency earnings, heighten food insecurity, and disrupt services across Egypt

Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
Medium
Date
23-07-2025
Country
Syria

Water scarcity, especially in northeast and northwest Syria result in livelihoods and services’ disruptions, reduced food production and protests 

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis
Active
Medium
Date
22-07-2025
Country
Syria

Further Israeli expansion in southern Syria triggers armed group resistance, displacement, and heightened food insecurity

Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
High
Date
10-09-2025
Country
Somalia

Escalating tensions around universal suffrage in Somalia heightens conflict and instability ahead of the 2026 elections

Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
High
Date
18-02-2025
Country
Lebanon

Attempts to politically marginalise and militarily weaken Hezbollah in Lebanon leads to internal tensions, protests, and displacement

Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
High
Date
11-09-2025
Country
Iran

Rising water scarcity in Iran leads to a deterioration in health, food security, and livelihood needs

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis

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