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Active
High
Date
08-07-2026
Country
Colombia

Peace talk end and military offensive against armed groups in Colombia escalate conflict and increase civilian casualties and displacement

Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
High
Date
08-07-2026
Country
Philippines

El Niño-driven agricultural losses and water shortages in the Philippines increase food security, WASH, and health needs

Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
High
Date
08-07-2026
Country
Ethiopia

Forecast below-average _Kiremt_ rains in Ethiopia threaten food production and livelihoods

Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
High
Date
08-07-2026
Country
Kenya

Forecast El Niño conditions threaten crop production and worsen food insecurity in Kenya

Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
Medium
Date
29-06-2026
Country
Algeria

Resource-related clashes and political tensions in Tindouf camps restrict humanitarian access and increase protection risks for Sahrawi refugees

Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
Medium
Date
19-06-2026
Country
Sudan

Mass returns from eastern Chad exacerbate humanitarian needs in West Darfur State

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis
Active
Medium
Date
19-06-2026
Country
Sudan

RSF drone attacks damage the Merowe Dam and power grid in Northern state, disrupting health, food security, and public services

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis
Active
Medium
Date
19-06-2026
Country
Sudan

Long-range RSF drones targeting the eastern supply corridor and Port Sudan disrupt trade and aid delivery in Red Sea state

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis
Active
Medium
Date
19-06-2026
Country
Sudan

A rift between SAF and allied groups in Khartoum leads to worsening humanitarian conditions and protection concerns

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis
Active
Medium
Date
19-06-2026
Country
Sudan

Interregional trade restrictions disrupt markets and deepen food insecurity in West Kordofan

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis
Active
Medium
Date
19-06-2026
Country
Sudan

RSF restoration of siege on Al Obeid, North Kordofan drives widescale displacement towards White Nile state

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis
Active
High
Date
19-06-2026
Country
Sudan

RSF expansion in Blue Nile state triggers displacement and protection risks

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis
Active
Medium
Date
19-06-2026
Country
Mozambique

El Niño-induced dry conditions in southern and central Mozambique and floods in the northern provinces increase humanitarian needs in 2026 and early 2027

Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
Medium
Date
19-06-2026
Country
Madagascar

El Niño drives drought conditions, increasing food insecurity and heightening humanitarian needs in Madagascar in 2027

Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
High
Date
24-04-2026
Country
Niger

Escalation of inter-group conflict between Jama’at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin and Islamic State Sahel Province in western Niger leads to increased violence against civilians and displacement

Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
Medium
Date
02-06-2026
Country
Palestine

Escalation of confrontation between Israel forces and Palestinian armed groups in the West Bank leads to increased displacement and livelihood and healthcare needs.

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis
Active
High
Date
02-06-2026
Country
Chad

Escalating cross-border insecurity linked to the Sudan conflict increases protection risks and humanitarian needs in eastern Chad

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis
Active
High
Date
02-06-2026
Country
Mali

Continued coordinated JNIM–FLA attacks and blockades increase protection risks, displacement, and humanitarian access constraints in Mali

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis
Active
High
Date
26-04-2026
Countries
Honduras, Guatemala, El Salvador

El Niño-driven above-average temperatures and below-average precipitation cause widespread drought in the Central American Dry Corridor (El Salvador, Guatemala, and Honduras), increasing food and health needs

Risk type
Future impact of a hazard which has already taken place
Active
High
Date
26-04-2026
Country
Bangladesh

Prolonged fuel shortages in Bangladesh worsen food security and disrupt health, telecommunications, and other essential services

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis
Active
High
Date
21-04-2026
Country
South Sudan

Escalating violence between SPLM and SPLM‑IO in South Sudan reignites civil war that drives mass displacement and service collapse

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis
Active
Medium
Date
01-04-2026
Country
Lebanon

Intercommunal tensions between IDPs and host communities in Lebanon result in localised clashes and further displacement

Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
Medium
Date
23-02-2026
Country
Egypt

Potential Red Sea disruptions from a US–Iran conflict reduce foreign currency earnings, heighten food insecurity, and disrupt services across Egypt

Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
Medium
Date
22-07-2025
Country
Syria

Further Israeli expansion in southern Syria triggers armed group resistance, displacement, and heightened food insecurity

Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
High
Date
10-09-2025
Country
Somalia

Escalating tensions around universal suffrage in Somalia heightens conflict and instability ahead of the 2026 elections

Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
High
Date
11-09-2025
Country
Iran

Rising water scarcity in Iran leads to a deterioration in health, food security, and livelihood needs

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis