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Active
Medium
Date
01-04-2026
Country
Lebanon

Intercommunal tensions between IDPs and host communities in Lebanon result in localised clashes and further displacement

Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
High
Date
23-03-2026
Country
Somalia

The escalation of political and armed conflict in Southwest state leads to large‑scale displacement and worsens humanitarian conditions

Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
Medium
Date
24-02-2026
Country
Iraq

The US/Israel–Iran escalation affecting the Strait of Hormuz drives conflict, food insecurity, livelihood collapse, and protection risks in Iraq

Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
Medium
Date
23-02-2026
Country
Jordan

The Israel/US conflict with Iran results in economic deterioration and political instability, increasing humanitarian needs in Jordan

Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
Medium
Date
24-02-2026
Country
Libya

A contested April 2026 electoral process in Libya heightens localised armed clashes, displacement, and service disruptions

Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
High
Date
23-02-2026
Country
Lebanon

Potential Hezbollah–Israel escalation related to Israeli/United States attack on Iran results in increased internal displacement, cross-border movements, and worsening food insecurity

Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
High
Date
04-02-2026
Country
Cuba

Worsening energy shortages and US pressure lead to essential service disruptions and rising humanitarian needs in Cuba

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis
Active
Medium
Date
23-02-2026
Country
Egypt

Potential Red Sea disruptions from a US–Iran conflict reduce foreign currency earnings, heighten food insecurity, and disrupt services across Egypt

Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
Medium
Date
23-07-2025
Country
Syria

Water scarcity, especially in northeast and northwest Syria result in livelihoods and services’ disruptions, reduced food production and protests 

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis
Active
Medium
Date
22-07-2025
Country
Syria

Further Israeli expansion in southern Syria triggers armed group resistance, displacement, and heightened food insecurity

Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
High
Date
28-10-2025
Country
Mali

Failure of essential services owing to the blockade in Mali leads to civil unrest and destabilisation and aggravates needs

Risk type
Future impact of a hazard which has already taken place
Active
High
Date
17-10-2025
Country
Colombia

Intensified territorial disputes among armed groups over illegal mining corridors in southern Bolívar lead to mass displacement and confinement

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis
Active
High
Date
10-09-2025
Country
Somalia

Escalating tensions around universal suffrage in Somalia heightens conflict and instability ahead of the 2026 elections

Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
High
Date
02-10-2025
Country
Somalia

Consecutive below-average rains amid expected La Niña conditions in northern and central Somalia deepen drought Impacts

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis
Active
High
Date
11-09-2025
Country
Iran

Rising water scarcity in Iran leads to a deterioration in health, food security, and livelihood needs

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis
Active
Medium
Date
22-07-2025
Country
Syria

A prolonged Syria–Lebanon border conflict results in displacement and increases shelter and livelihood needs

Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
Medium
Date
22-07-2025
Country
Syria

Escalations between loyalists to former President Bashar Al Assad and Sunni armed groups result in internal and cross-border displacement

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis