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ACAPSACAPS

risk RADAR

See the global risk map

Active
Medium
Date
02-11-2026
Country
Iran

Escalating clashes between Baloch armed groups and Iranian forces spread into populated areas of Sistan and Baluchestan, causing civilian casualties, displacement, and livelihood disruptions

Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
High
Date
02-10-2026
Country
Palestine

Accelerated implementation of the E1 settlement plan results in demolitions, displacement of Bedouin communities, and access constraints

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis
Active
High
Date
04-09-2026
Country
Indonesia

Intensifying forest and peatland fires across Indonesia cause prolonged hazardous haze, health impacts, and education, transport, and livelihood disruptions

Risk type
Future impact of a hazard which has already taken place
Active
High
Date
04-09-2026
Country
Myanmar

Military operations to secure the Dawei Special Economic Zone cause further forced displacement and severe protection risks in Dawei district, Tanintharyi region

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis
Active
Medium
Date
03-09-2026
Country
Syria

Renewed violence in As Sweida or settler outpost establishment drives Israeli expansion in southern Syria, displacing civilians and restricting access

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis
Active
High
Date
05-08-2026
Countries
Chad, Niger, Cameroon, Nigeria

Escalating insecurity across the Lake Chad Basin increases displacement, protection risks, and humanitarian access constraints

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis
Active
Medium
Date
05-08-2026
Country
Yemen

Renewed cross-border strikes collapse the 2022 Houthi–Saudi truce, driving new displacement, disrupting imports, and reducing humanitarian access across Yemen

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis
Active
High
Date
02-08-2026
Country
Palestine

Permanent military exclusion zone east of the Yellow Line before the Israeli elections increases displacement and humanitarian access constraints

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis
Active
High
Date
08-07-2026
Country
Colombia

Peace talk end and military offensive against armed groups in Colombia escalate conflict and increase civilian casualties and displacement

Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
High
Date
08-07-2026
Country
Philippines

El Niño-driven agricultural losses and water shortages in the Philippines increase food security, WASH, and health needs

Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
High
Date
08-07-2026
Country
Ethiopia

Forecast below-average Kiremt rains in Ethiopia threaten food production and livelihoods

Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
High
Date
08-07-2026
Country
Kenya

Forecast El Niño conditions threaten crop production and worsen food insecurity in Kenya

Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
High
Date
02-06-2026
Country
Chad

Escalating cross-border insecurity linked to the Sudan conflict increases protection risks and humanitarian needs in eastern Chad

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis
Active
High
Date
02-06-2026
Country
Mali

Continued coordinated JNIM–FLA attacks and blockades increase protection risks, displacement, and humanitarian access constraints in Mali

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis
Active
High
Date
21-04-2026
Country
South Sudan

Escalating violence between the Sudan People's Liberation Movement and the Sudan People's Liberation Movement-in-Opposition reignites civil war, driving mass displacement and service collapse

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis

 

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