Active
High
Date
25-02-2026Country
IranDirect US–Iran military confrontation causes mass civilian casualties in Iran and regional conflict spillover, leading to displacement and service collapse
Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
Medium
Date
23-02-2026Country
EgyptPotential Red Sea disruptions from a US–Iran conflict reduce foreign currency earnings, heighten food insecurity, and disrupt services across Egypt
Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
Medium
Date
23-07-2025Country
SyriaWater scarcity, especially in northeast and northwest Syria result in livelihoods and services’ disruptions, reduced food production and protests
Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis
Active
High
Date
10-09-2025Country
SomaliaEscalating tensions around universal suffrage in Somalia heightens conflict and instability ahead of the 2026 elections