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Active
Medium
Date
02-06-2026
Country
Palestine

Escalation of confrontation between Israel forces and Palestinian armed groups in the West Bank leads to increased displacement and livelihood and healthcare needs.

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis
Active
High
Date
02-06-2026
Country
Chad

Escalating cross-border insecurity linked to the Sudan conflict increases protection risks and humanitarian needs in eastern Chad

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis
Active
High
Date
02-06-2026
Country
Mali

Continued coordinated JNIM–FLA attacks and blockades increase protection risks, displacement, and humanitarian access constraints in Mali

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis
Active
High
Date
26-04-2026
Countries
Honduras, Guatemala, El Salvador

El Niño-driven above-average temperatures and below-average precipitation cause widespread drought in the Central American Dry Corridor (El Salvador, Guatemala, and Honduras), increasing food and health needs

Risk type
Future impact of a hazard which has already taken place
Active
High
Date
21-04-2026
Country
South Sudan

Escalating violence between SPLM and SPLM‑IO in South Sudan reignites civil war that drives mass displacement and service collapse

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis
Active
Medium
Date
01-04-2026
Country
Lebanon

Intercommunal tensions between IDPs and host communities in Lebanon result in localised clashes and further displacement

Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
Medium
Date
24-02-2026
Country
Iraq

The US/Israel–Iran escalation affecting the Strait of Hormuz drives conflict, food insecurity, livelihood collapse, and protection risks in Iraq

Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
Medium
Date
23-02-2026
Country
Jordan

The Israel/US conflict with Iran results in economic deterioration and political instability, increasing humanitarian needs in Jordan

Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
High
Date
24-12-2025
Country
Palestine

A return to large‑scale conflict in Gaza stokes a further deterioration of food security and humanitarian conditions

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis
Active
Medium
Date
23-02-2026
Country
Egypt

Potential Red Sea disruptions from a US–Iran conflict reduce foreign currency earnings, heighten food insecurity, and disrupt services across Egypt

Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
Medium
Date
23-02-2026
Country
Yemen

The US–Iran escalation leads to strikes on Houthi-held ports, crippling infrastructure and disrupting vital humanitarian supply chains in Yemen

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis
Active
Medium
Date
22-07-2025
Country
Syria

Further Israeli expansion in southern Syria triggers armed group resistance, displacement, and heightened food insecurity

Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
High
Date
17-10-2025
Country
Colombia

Intensified territorial disputes among armed groups over illegal mining corridors in southern Bolívar lead to mass displacement and confinement

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis
Active
High
Date
10-09-2025
Country
Somalia

Escalating tensions around universal suffrage in Somalia heightens conflict and instability ahead of the 2026 elections

Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
High
Date
02-10-2025
Country
Somalia

Consecutive below-average rains amid expected La Niña conditions in northern and central Somalia deepen drought Impacts

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis
Active
High
Date
11-09-2025
Country
Iran

Rising water scarcity in Iran leads to a deterioration in health, food security, and livelihood needs

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis