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Country analysis

Palestine


The Israel–Palestine conflict continues to generate severe needs driven by the Israeli occupation, recurring periods of escalating hostilities, international humanitarian and human rights law violations, and internal Palestinian political division. In 2025, an estimated 3.3 million (all 2.1 million Gazans and 1.2 million from the West Bank) out of a population of 5.3 million will need humanitarian assistance.

In Gaza, the latest round of hostilities that erupted in October 2023 has displaced almost the entire population, with many multiply displaced. People continue to face severe challenges in accessing shelter, water, food, health services, and education, especially after the Israeli blockade since 2 March 2025. The entire population faces Crisis (IPC Phase 3) or worse food insecurity, including at least 22% in Catastrophe (IPC Phase 5). Deaths from starvation have been reported daily since at least mid-July.

In the West Bank, Palestinians face serious protection challenges from the Israeli occupation and settler violence. On 21 January, Israel started a military operation affecting Jenin, Tubas, and Tulkarem governorates, displacing nearly 36,000 people by July. Israeli settler violence and harassment continue in the West Bank, including attacks on Palestinian houses, livestock, and crops, as well as the establishment of new Israeli outposts. (OCHA 11/12/2024, UN 29/07/2025, UNRWA 25/07/2025, OCHA 03/07/2025, IPC 12/05/2025)

The Israel–Palestine conflict continues to generate severe needs driven by the Israeli occupation, recurring periods of escalating hostilities, international humanitarian and human rights law violations, and internal Palestinian political division. In 2025, an estimated 3.3 million (all 2.1 million Gazans and 1.2 million from the West Bank) out of a population of 5.3 million will need humanitarian assistance.

In Gaza, the latest round of hostilities that erupted in October 2023 has displaced almost the entire population, with many multiply displaced. People continue to face severe challenges in accessing shelter, water, food, health services, and education, especially after the Israeli blockade since 2 March 2025. The entire population faces Crisis (IPC Phase 3) or worse food insecurity, including at least 22% in Catastrophe (IPC Phase 5). Deaths from starvation have been reported daily since at least mid-July.

In the West Bank, Palestinians face serious protection challenges from the Israeli occupation and settler violence. On 21 January, Israel started a military operation affecting Jenin, Tubas, and Tulkarem governorates, displacing nearly 36,000 people by July. Israeli settler violence and harassment continue in the West Bank, including attacks on Palestinian houses, livestock, and crops, as well as the establishment of new Israeli outposts. (OCHA 11/12/2024, UN 29/07/2025, UNRWA 25/07/2025, OCHA 03/07/2025, IPC 12/05/2025)

Latest updates on country situation

22 July 2026

Humanitarian access is restricted near the Yellow Line and Orange Line, where daily Israeli tank movements, sand embankment construction, gunfire, and the continued northward expansion of yellow marker blocks have expanded Israeli-controlled territory to 64.9% of the Gaza Strip as of 23 June. At least 17 displacement sites in northern Rafah, hosting about 3,000 families (16,500 people), were affected by the extending of the Yellow Line area, including 11 sites in Al Mawasi coastal area that have become completely inaccessible as a result of daily tank movements between 6–13 July. This has exposed around 1,600 IDPs to a risk of secondary displacement. Up to 282,600 people across Gaza will likely be affected by access restrictions and disruption to services if the Yellow Line expands further, especially with Israel announcing operations on 18 July to push the Yellow Line west in the Zeitoun area, eastern Gaza city, forcing more displaced families to evacuate again. Newly displaced families likely need safe shelter, water and WASH support, food, healthcare, and protection. (UN 14/07/2026, OCHA 17/07/2026, UNICEF 20/07/2026)

15 July 2026

Almost the entire Gazan population of 2.1 million remains displaced and is facing a decline in shelter support, with coverage declining by 37% between May–June 2026 as a result of prolonged restrictions on access to shelter materials and funding shortfalls. These shortages are occurring amid restricted humanitarian access, with aid entry falling by 11% in June compared to May. Kerem Shalom remains the only open cargo crossing, while nearly half of the aid trucks entering through the Egypt corridor have been returned. (OCHA 11/07/2026, Logistics Cluster 10/07/2026, UN 06/07/2026)

24 June 2026

On 12 June 2026, Israeli forces expanded the yellow line westwards beyond areas of eastern Gaza City already under their control, displacing dozens of families. Many fled without belongings or shelter materials. Further expansion could trigger additional displacement and increase urgent needs for shelter, food, water, NFIs, healthcare, and protection, besides reducing operational space for humanitarian organisations. (OCHA 20/06/2026, Parlmany 18/06/2026)

17 June 2026

By 11 June 2026, Israeli authorities advanced plans to expand settlements across the West Bank, including through more than 2,100 additional housing units and funding for establishing and expanding 69 settlements and outposts in Area C, the Jordan Valley, and the South Hebron Hills. The expansion is likely to increase displacement pressure on Palestinian Bedouin, herding, and rural communities already affected by settler violence, demolitions, movement restrictions, and limited access to land and water. Between January 2023 and April 2026, approximately 5,910 Palestinians were displaced from 117 Bedouin and herding communities, and at least 38 communities in the Jordan Valley remain exposed to displacement. Since January 2026, more than 100 incidents of demolition or settler violence have damaged or destroyed over 190 water and sanitation-related structures across the West Bank, increasing reliance on emergency water trucking. Continued settlement growth may further restrict access to agricultural land, grazing areas, water resources, healthcare, and livelihoods, increasing protection, WASH, shelter, and legal assistance needs. (Times of Israel 11/06/2026, Amnesty International 10/06/2026, OCHA 13/06/2026)

17 June 2026

On 12 June 2026, private generator operators in Gaza warned of a possible complete shutdown caused by shortages of engine oil and spare parts, with partial suspensions already affecting around 200,000 subscribers and an estimated 2.1 million people depending on generators directly or indirectly. Generators provide about 11 hours of electricity daily since the collapse of Gaza's main network, with a prolonged shutdown threatening healthcare, water pumping, and other essential services. (AJ 12/06/2026, Raya News 15/06/2026, OCHA 06/06/2026)

10 June 2026

On 8 June, following Iranian missile attacks on Israel, Israeli authorities closed all crossings into Gaza until further notice, including Rafah and Kerem Shalom. The closure halted the entry of humanitarian aid, fuel, medical supplies, and commercial goods and is likely to further worsen conditions for Gaza’s entire population of 2.1 million people, most of whom remain displaced and living in overcrowded shelters amid already severe shortages of food, safe water, healthcare, and electricity. (STC 08/06/2026, TNA 08/06/2026, MEM 08/06/2026)

13 May 2026

An estimated 237 thalassaemia patients continue to suffer from malnutrition and face lack of timely blood transfusions, as Israeli access restrictions continue to drive shortages in medical supplies, including blood units, in Gaza. Patients who require regular transfusions every two to three weeks are receiving them as infrequently as every two to three months. Since October 2023, at least 38 patients have died because of shortages of blood units. (AJ accessed 13/05/2026, SANA 09/05/2026)

current crises
in Palestine


These crises have been identified through the INFORM Severity Index, a tool for measuring and comparing the severity of humanitarian crises globally.

Read more about the Index

PSE003 - Conflict in the West Bank

Last updated 30/06/2026


Drivers

Conflict/ Violence

Crisis level

Country

Severity level

7.3 High

Access constraints

8.0

PSE004 - Conflict in Gaza

Last updated 30/06/2026


Drivers

Conflict/ Violence

Crisis level

Country

Severity level

8.1 Very High

Access constraints

10.0

PSE002 - Multiple crises

Last updated 30/06/2026


Drivers

Conflict/ Violence

Crisis level

Country

Severity level

8.6 Very High

Access constraints

10.0

Active risks

Active
Medium
Date
02-06-2026
Country
Palestine

Escalation of confrontation between Israel forces and Palestinian armed groups in the West Bank leads to increased displacement and livelihood and healthcare needs.

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis

Analysis products
on Palestine

Middle East conflict: ripple effects and scenarios

20 March 2026

Middle East conflict: ripple effects and scenarios

DOCUMENT / PDF / 3 MB

This report uses descriptive, explanatory, and anticipatory analysis to help decision makers understand the scale of the ripple effects from the war, dividing the impacts into four themes:

- energy and water security

- economy, shipping disruption, and food security

- conflict and social cohesion

- humanitarian needs, gaps, and access.

Conflict and violence
Palestine: potential implications of the indefinite partial closure of border crossings in Gaza

05 March 2026

Palestine: potential implications of the indefinite partial closure of border crossings in Gaza

DOCUMENT / PDF / 319 KB

This anticipatory analysis aims to alert humanitarian responders to the potential humanitarian implications of the indefinite partial closure of Gaza’s border crossings and how a collapse of the ceasefire would further aggravate needs. 

Anticipatory analysis

10 February 2026

Anticipating Possible US Strikes on Iran

On 6 February, US and Iranian negotiators met in Muscat against the backdrop of potential military confrontation. In recent weeks, the US has been positioning more offensive and defensive military assets into the region than during the June 2025 12-Day War, creating conditions for what Trump dubbed a ‘decisive’ attack against Iran, while Tehran and its regional allies have pledged a ‘painful response’ to any attack, with Iran’s Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Khamenei, warning of a possible confrontation: “this time it will be a regional war.”

 

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Humanitarian access overview: spotlight on fragmented contexts

10 February 2026

Humanitarian access overview: spotlight on fragmented contexts

DOCUMENT / PDF / 1 MB

Between June–November 2025, crisis-affected populations in 36 countries experienced high to extreme humanitarian access constraints, according to the ACAPS humanitarian access analysis framework. Operational barriers, including the requirement for aid organisations to secure multiple sequential approvals, fragmented service coverage across jurisdictions, and increased reliance on remote modalities, further hindered their ability to meet basic needs. 

Humanitarian access
Palestine: impact of winter storms in Gaza and the West Bank

05 February 2026

Palestine: impact of winter storms in Gaza and the West Bank

DOCUMENT / PDF / 353 KB

This report focuses on Gaza and the West Bank. The analysis builds on ACAPS’s El Niño and Southern Oscillation global anticipatory analysis, as well as its climate analysis and seasonal hazard monitoring in West Asia.

Natural hazards
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