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Country analysis

Palestine


The Israel–Palestine conflict continues to generate severe needs driven by the Israeli occupation, recurring periods of escalating hostilities, international humanitarian and human rights law violations, and internal Palestinian political division. In 2025, an estimated 3.3 million (all 2.1 million Gazans and 1.2 million from the West Bank) out of a population of 5.3 million will need humanitarian assistance.

In Gaza, the latest round of hostilities that erupted in October 2023 has displaced almost the entire population, with many multiply displaced. People continue to face severe challenges in accessing shelter, water, food, health services, and education, especially after the Israeli blockade since 2 March 2025. The entire population faces Crisis (IPC Phase 3) or worse food insecurity, including at least 22% in Catastrophe (IPC Phase 5). Deaths from starvation have been reported daily since at least mid-July.

In the West Bank, Palestinians face serious protection challenges from the Israeli occupation and settler violence. On 21 January, Israel started a military operation affecting Jenin, Tubas, and Tulkarem governorates, displacing nearly 36,000 people by July. Israeli settler violence and harassment continue in the West Bank, including attacks on Palestinian houses, livestock, and crops, as well as the establishment of new Israeli outposts. (OCHA 11/12/2024, UN 29/07/2025, UNRWA 25/07/2025, OCHA 03/07/2025, IPC 12/05/2025)

The Israel–Palestine conflict continues to generate severe needs driven by the Israeli occupation, recurring periods of escalating hostilities, international humanitarian and human rights law violations, and internal Palestinian political division. In 2025, an estimated 3.3 million (all 2.1 million Gazans and 1.2 million from the West Bank) out of a population of 5.3 million will need humanitarian assistance.

In Gaza, the latest round of hostilities that erupted in October 2023 has displaced almost the entire population, with many multiply displaced. People continue to face severe challenges in accessing shelter, water, food, health services, and education, especially after the Israeli blockade since 2 March 2025. The entire population faces Crisis (IPC Phase 3) or worse food insecurity, including at least 22% in Catastrophe (IPC Phase 5). Deaths from starvation have been reported daily since at least mid-July.

In the West Bank, Palestinians face serious protection challenges from the Israeli occupation and settler violence. On 21 January, Israel started a military operation affecting Jenin, Tubas, and Tulkarem governorates, displacing nearly 36,000 people by July. Israeli settler violence and harassment continue in the West Bank, including attacks on Palestinian houses, livestock, and crops, as well as the establishment of new Israeli outposts. (OCHA 11/12/2024, UN 29/07/2025, UNRWA 25/07/2025, OCHA 03/07/2025, IPC 12/05/2025)

Latest updates on country situation

23 September 2026

Damage to shelters across Gaza is expected to increase with the approach of winter, as rainfall, soil erosion, and additional water weight further weaken structures already damaged by the conflict. By June, over 201,000 structures (82% of all structures across Gaza) showed damage and were considered unsafe shelters. Damage severity varies sharply by governorate, ranging from 7% in Deir Al Balah to 36% in North Gaza, where buildings are severely damaged or partially collapsed. In August, 94% of Gaza's population (approximately 1.98 million people) were in Crisis Shelter Severity (Phase 3) domestic living conditions or worse, including 84% in Critical (Phase 4) or Catastrophic (Phase 5) conditions. A building collapse in Gaza City on 17 September killed 21 displaced Palestinians, highlighting the risk of further collapse. Restrictions on tents, caravans, and reconstruction materials, alongside shortages of heavy civil-defence equipment, continue to limit evacuation and emergency response. (OCHA 07/08/2026, NRC 20/08/2026, AJ 20/09/2026)

09 September 2026

Microbiological contamination in Gaza’s water samples nearly tripled from 6% in January to 18% in August 2026, as all five wastewater treatment plants remained out of service and around 55,000m³ of untreated wastewater was discharged or leaked daily. Acute watery diarrhoea cases nearly doubled from 30,000 in March to 58,000 in August. The upcoming rainy season (typically from November–March) and flooding could further spread contamination. Priority needs include safe water, wastewater systems, fuel and spare parts, disease surveillance, and improved sanitation and drainage. (UN 01/09/2026, AJ 08/09/2026, WAFA 02/09/2026)

02 September 2026

Increasing settler attacks in Areas A and B are contributing to a broader pattern of coercive displacement, as is happening in Qusra town, Nablus governorate. Since 9 August 2026, three Palestinian households, comprising about 15 people, have faced severe access and movement restrictions following the establishment of an Israeli settlement outpost nearby. Settler attacks on homes and physical assaults limit residents’ access to food, water, and essential supplies. Settlers have also prevented an ambulance from reaching people affected by the attacks, heightening protection concerns and further restricting access to healthcare. (UN 13/08/2026, OCHA 28/08/2026, AJ 29/08/2026)

19 August 2026

Gaza's population remains highly dependent on humanitarian assistance for food access, while aid delivery continues to face constraints both at entry points and within the strip. Of the around 1,200 trucks operating before October 2023, only 25% remain functional following destruction from Israeli air strikes, the disabling of trucks, and shortages of spare parts, tyres, oil, and batteries. Maintenance costs have increased sharply, with an oil change rising from around USD 150 before the conflict to approximately USD 33,000. More than 20 drivers have also been killed and 15 detained since the start of the conflict, further disrupting aid movement inside Gaza. These disruptions may reduce the quantity and reliability of food reaching households, contributing to worsening food insecurity and malnutrition. Between July–December 2026, 67% of Gaza's population is projected to face Crisis (IPC Phase 3) or worse food insecurity – 90% if without humanitarian assistance. (Euro-Med Monitor 09/08/2026, AJ 10/08/2026, IPC 13/08/2026)

12 August 2026

A 46-hour Israeli raid on Qalandia refugee camp between 5–7 August 2026 disrupted healthcare access, exposed its 19,000 residents to protection risks, and damaged an unknown number of homes and businesses. During the operation, Israeli forces sealed all camp entrances. The Palestine Red Crescent had to treat 51 injured people, including 38 hospitalised after beatings. The Israeli forces arrested or detained more than 60 Palestinians, including women and children, for field interrogation, besides destroying seven commercial shops, further affecting livelihoods and access to essential services. (AJ 07/08/2026, WAFA 06/08/2026)

05 August 2026

By the end of July 2026, Gaza retained only 19% of its pre-war nighttime light levels, dropping to 12% in areas west of the Yellow Line. The near-total absence of electricity is preventing the preservation of food and medication, limiting water pumping capacity, and disrupting hospital operations, bakeries, and communication networks, further deteriorating already-dire humanitarian conditions for the entire population of 2.1 million people. (AJ 28/07/2026, PIC 29/07/2026)

29 July 2026

Israeli operations in and around Nablus between 24–25 July 2026 disrupted healthcare, displaced an unknown number of families, and interrupted education. At least ten incidents obstructed access to emergency healthcare, including forced and complicated childbirths, one foetal death at a checkpoint, and patients awaiting medical evacuation. The clashes, triggered by an operation in nearby Tal village that killed four Palestinians, were followed by the deployment of 26 Israeli battalions, the arrest of more than 80 people, and a raid on Nablus Specialised Hospital. The escalation occurred amid continued settler attacks across the West Bank, bringing settler-related Palestinian fatalities in 2026 to 18, already exceeding the total recorded in 2025, and heightening protection concerns. (HRW 24/07/2026, MAP 27/07/2026, Refugees PS 28/07/2026)

current crises
in Palestine


These crises have been identified through the INFORM Severity Index, a tool for measuring and comparing the severity of humanitarian crises globally.

Read more about the Index

PSE003 - Conflict in the West Bank

Last updated 31/08/2026


Drivers

Conflict/ Violence

Crisis level

Country

Severity level

7.3 High

Access constraints

8.0

PSE004 - Conflict in Gaza

Last updated 31/08/2026


Drivers

Conflict/ Violence

Crisis level

Country

Severity level

8.1 Very High

Access constraints

10.0

PSE002 - Multiple crises

Last updated 31/08/2026


Drivers

Conflict/ Violence

Crisis level

Country

Severity level

8.4 Very High

Access constraints

10.0

Active risks

Active
High
Date
02-08-2026
Country
Palestine

Permanent military exclusion zone east of the Yellow Line before the Israeli elections increases displacement and humanitarian access constraints

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis

Analysis products
on Palestine

21 September 2026

Palestine: deteriorating humanitarian conditions in Area C, West Bank

Palestinians in Area C face a growing risk of forced displacement as Israeli legal and administrative measures, settlement expansion, movement restrictions, and targeted violence increasingly constrain their ability to live, move, and sustain their livelihoods. This analysis focuses on developments since the current Israeli government took office in December 2022, using earlier data where necessary to establish baselines and trends.

 

Read more

Displacement
Middle East conflict: ripple effects and scenarios

20 March 2026

Middle East conflict: ripple effects and scenarios

DOCUMENT / PDF / 3 MB

This report uses descriptive, explanatory, and anticipatory analysis to help decision makers understand the scale of the ripple effects from the war, dividing the impacts into four themes:

- energy and water security

- economy, shipping disruption, and food security

- conflict and social cohesion

- humanitarian needs, gaps, and access.

Conflict and violence
Palestine: potential implications of the indefinite partial closure of border crossings in Gaza

05 March 2026

Palestine: potential implications of the indefinite partial closure of border crossings in Gaza

DOCUMENT / PDF / 319 KB

This anticipatory analysis aims to alert humanitarian responders to the potential humanitarian implications of the indefinite partial closure of Gaza’s border crossings and how a collapse of the ceasefire would further aggravate needs. 

Anticipatory analysis

10 February 2026

Anticipating Possible US Strikes on Iran

On 6 February, US and Iranian negotiators met in Muscat against the backdrop of potential military confrontation. In recent weeks, the US has been positioning more offensive and defensive military assets into the region than during the June 2025 12-Day War, creating conditions for what Trump dubbed a ‘decisive’ attack against Iran, while Tehran and its regional allies have pledged a ‘painful response’ to any attack, with Iran’s Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Khamenei, warning of a possible confrontation: “this time it will be a regional war.”

 

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Humanitarian access overview: spotlight on fragmented contexts

10 February 2026

Humanitarian access overview: spotlight on fragmented contexts

DOCUMENT / PDF / 1 MB

Between June–November 2025, crisis-affected populations in 36 countries experienced high to extreme humanitarian access constraints, according to the ACAPS humanitarian access analysis framework. Operational barriers, including the requirement for aid organisations to secure multiple sequential approvals, fragmented service coverage across jurisdictions, and increased reliance on remote modalities, further hindered their ability to meet basic needs. 

Humanitarian access
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