On 10 June 2022, ACAPS published an anticipatory analysis of the prospects for the deterioration of the humanitarian situation in Sri Lanka. This report provides an update of the previous analysis with information available from 10 June to 17 July.

Sri Lanka faces an economic crisis partly resulting from its twin deficit economy. The economic crisis is affecting the daily life of the population. Hospitals have reported shortages of medicines, price increases have made food unaffordable for part of the population, and some people have already started to migrate to India to escape the effects of the crisis. 

The Southwest Monsoon is expected to arrive over Sri Lanka in mid to late May 2020. According to the National Department of Meteorology, an estimated 35,000 to 50,000 families may be displaced, based on analysis of previous floods and landslides. 

A rainfall deficit in the first half of the year has resulted in drought in most parts of Sri Lanka. As of 12 August, around 660,000 people have been affected across 18 districts. The worst affected districts are Batticaloa, Jaffna, Ampara, Mannar, Mullaitivu and Moneragala, with Mannar and Mullaitivu, both in Northern province, registering the highest percentages of affected people in their respective districts. Food and livelihood needs as well as WASH needs are reported. Farmer families in Northern province are particularly vulnerable.

Heavy rains in southwestern Sri Lanka from 25 May triggered flooding that affected 15 districts, of which Galle, Kalutara, Matara, and Ratnapura were the most severely affected. Over 588,000 people have been affected, 180 killed, and 110 are missing. Landslides and flooding have constrained access to heavily affected areas. 

Sri Lanka has been experiencing a drought in most of the country since the beginning of 2016. As of 21 February about 900,000 people in Sri Lanka have been affected by drought, across nine provinces. The total cumulative rainfall has been below normal and erratic, despite extremely heavy rain during mid-May 2016.