Crisis Severity The severity score from 1 to 5 is based on 31 indicators aggregated into 3 pillars (impact, conditions, and complexity)1.60 Very lowVery high 5
Impact This measures the impact of the crisis itself, in terms of the scope of its geographical, and human effects.1.30 Very lowVery high 5
Humanitarian Conditions This measures the conditions and status of the people affected, including info about the distribution of severity.2.00 Very lowVery high 5
Complexity This measures the complexity of the crisis, in terms of factors that affect its mitigation or resolution.1.10 Very lowVery high 5
Access Constraints This measures the level of humanitarian constraints.No constraintsExtreme constraints
Well-below average rainfall since October has led to a deterioration of the pasture and livestock conditions. Food security had previously been impacted by the late onset of rains, dry spells and frost during the 2017-2018 agricultural season, when national production only covered 21% of the national needs of cereals for human consumption. ?As a result, 11% of the country’s population is experiencing IPC Phase 3 (Crisis) or above, a proportion expected to rise to 18% between September 2018 and February 2019 as reduced rainfall is expected in the following months, with a prediction for El Niño exceeding 80% likelihood. ?The last El Niño events in 2015-16 resulted in drought conditions and impacted the livelihoods and food security of 35% of the country’s population. ?
No significant recent humanitarian developments. This country is being monitored by our analysis team.