Crisis Severity The severity score from 1 to 5 is based on 31 indicators aggregated into 3 pillars (impact, conditions, and complexity)3.70 Very lowVery high 5
Impact This measures the impact of the crisis itself, in terms of the scope of its geographical, and human effects.4.20 Very lowVery high 5
Humanitarian Conditions This measures the conditions and status of the people affected, including info about the distribution of severity.3.50 Very lowVery high 5
Complexity This measures the complexity of the crisis, in terms of factors that affect its mitigation or resolution.3.80 Very lowVery high 5
Access Constraints This measures the level of humanitarian access constraints.3.0No constraintsExtreme constraints
The people of Iraq have endured subsequent crises over the past two decades, including the US-led invasion In 2003, incidents of sectarian violence until 2011, and most recently the occupation by Islamic State (IS) from 2014-2017. The current situation is characterised by significant internal displacement and severe economic and social decline. Around 1.5 million people are internally displaced, many considered in or at risk of protracted displacement. Over 4 million people are in need of humanitarian assistance. Around 1.8 million are in acute need, of whom almost half are in Ninewa and Al-Anbar governorates.?
Iraqis lack basic services, including electricity and water, and lack job opportunities. Water shortages in the southern provinces in 2018, sparked protests that became widespread by October 2019 as people in Baghdad and Basra protested the lack of basic services, lack of jobs, and corruption. Despite the COVID-19 outbreak and the subsequent containment measures, protests over lack of public services continue across Iraq.?
Insecurity is widespread and tensions recur between the different sects, and between the Kurdistan Regional Government and the Federal government. Tensions rose between the federal government and the Sunni and the Kurdish populations with the formation of the largely Shia militia the Popular Mobilization Forces (Hashd Al Shaabi), and its integration into the official Iraqi armed forces. The disputed territories in northern Iraq between the KRG and federal government remain a key issue.?
Iraq hosts more than 244,00 Syrian refugees. 99% reside in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq (KR-I), with about one-third living in camps and the rest in urban, rural and peri-urban areas.?
The humanitarian crisis is compounded by reoccurring, countrywide natural disasters, such as floods and droughts.
INFORM measures Iraq’s risk of humanitarian crisis and disaster to be very high, at 7.2/10. Hazard and exposure, as well as lack of coping capacity, are of particular concern, at 8.6/10 and 7/10 rates. ?
For more information on the humanitarian impact of the COVID-19 outbreak, please see the relevant paragraph below.
very High constraints
Denial of needs is reported as households with perceived affiliations to extremist groups are discriminated against when it comes to accessing aid. Restrictions of movement for humanitarians increased after the previous system of humanitarian access letters was dismantled in December without being replaced. Interference with humanitarian activities continued through additional information and reporting requirements for organisations, and discrimination among aid recipients. Violence against personnel rose as showed by the abduction of four humanitarians in January 2020 (later released). COVID-19 impacted entry and movement of humanitarian goods and personnel, including the provision of essential services to IDP camps.
Read more in the latest ACAPS Humanitarian Access Overview.
Registered protests and riots 2019-2020
Source : ACLED
Iraq registered 2,767 confirmed COVID-19 cases as of 11 May, with 109 deaths. The most affected governorates are Baghdad, Basra, Najaf and Erbil. One confirmed case in the Syrian refugee camp of Darashakran, Erbil governorate, was detected and the person is receiving medical care. Lockdown measures are now being relaxed in both in the KR-I region and in federal Iraq. Administrative restrictions imposed on aid agencies and inconsistent enforcement of humanitarian exemptions from COVID-19 related measures affected an estimated one million people in need in March 2020. Reports highlight increasing livelihood needs among IDPs and refugees related to loss or limitation in employment due to COVID-19 restrictions. Immunisation campaigns already struggling to reach all Iraqi children were further slowed down by the outbreak, exposing children to future health hazards, including measles.?
Protection: Protection needs stem from protracted displacement, which often includes forced displacement or blocked returns, limited financial resources, and overall increase in insecurity.?
Health:. Many health facilities were destroyed during the conflict and many medical professionals fled the country, resulting in overcrowded hospitals and shortages of drugs and medical staff. Almost 2 million returnees are at risk of not having their basic health needs met in 2020.?
Livelihoods: Years of conflict destroyed livelihoods, with unemployment nearing 13% in June 2020. Some 3,400 square kilometers are contaminated with landmines and explosives, hindering free movement in pursuit of livelihoods. Displaced people often have no access to livelihood opportunities. Half of all out-of-camp IDP households report that all working adults are in unstable employment.?
Information Gaps and Needs
- The tracking of IDPs that became refugees and the numbers of refugee returnees is lacking. Their needs and their whereabouts remain mostly unknown.
- Different delineations of administrative borders between central and regional governments (especially the KR-I) impacts on the accuracy of displacement tracking.
- The number of IS fighters currently in Iraq is unknown and more recent estimates are lacking.