• Crisis Severity ?
    2.5
    0 Very low
    Very high 5
  • Impact ?
    2.9
    0 Very low
    Very high 5
  • Humanitarian Conditions ?
    1.9
    0 Very low
    Very high 5
  • Complexity ?
    3.2
    0 Very low
    Very high 5
  • Access Constraints ?
    3.0
    No constraints
    Extreme constraints

Key figures

  • 270,213,000 Total population [?]
  • 5,438,000 People affected [?]

Overview

08/03/2022

The Free Papua Movement has been leading an insurgency movement since the 1960s, which calls for the independence of Papua and West Papua provinces. The insurgency has long been an excuse for military involvement in Papua, with the Indonesian Government consistently accused of human rights violations and violent suppression of the movement. There have been reports of extrajudicial killings, torture, arbitrary detention, looting and burning of villages, and mistreatment of peaceful protesters. Indonesian security forces rarely face justice for abuses in Papua.?

In late April, the assassination of the head of the regional intelligence agency carried out by the West Papua National Liberation Army (WPNLA) led to the latest security operation, which included internet cutoffs, escalating clashes, and displacement. The Government has since designated the WPNLA as a ‘terrorist’ group.?

There was a violence increase in December 2018 after separatists killed 19 construction workers who were building the highly contentious Trans-Papua Highway in Nduga regency. Conflict also escalated in August 2019, when anti-racism protests and widespread violence erupted in the Papuan provinces following the detention and discriminatory treatment of 43 Papuan students on the island of Java. Indonesia implemented a heavy-handed response to the protests: 6,000 military personnel were deployed to the region, an internet slowdown was established, movement restrictions were put in place, and dozens of activists were detained. 42,000 indigenous Papuans were displaced by the conflict between December 2018–March 2020. The number of IDPs is usually difficult to verify; however, it is estimated to be up 60,000 to 100,000 people.  ?

INFORM measures Indonesia's risk of humanitarian crisis and disaster to be medium, at 4.8/10.?

Latest Developments

16/09/2022

No significant recent humanitarian developments. This crisis is being monitored by our analysis team.

Humanitarian Access

07/07/2022

very High constraints

Indonesia faced Very High humanitarian access constraints in the past six months, scoring 4/5 in ACAPS Humanitarian Access Index. The humanitarian access situation has been deteriorating. This is mainly due to reports of hindrance to humanitarian aid activities targeting displaced Papuans in Papua province, as well as the inclusion of new information regarding the administrative constraints faced by these displaced Papuans. 

For more information you can consult our latest Global Humanitarian Access Overview – July 2022

Risk

Violent crackdown on protests and insurgency, and rising ethnic tensions after the announced division of Papua province result in increased displacement and protection needs in West Papua territory Latest update: 18/10/2022

Probability

Highly unlikely Somewhat likely Highly likely

Impact

Very low Moderate Major

Key Priorities

08/03/2022

Intersectoral: IDPs are in need of protection, shelter, food, NFIs, and health assistance. Many IDPs are unable to access health services and education. ?

Information Gaps and Needs

08/03/2022

Limited humanitarian access, and the Indonesian government's tight restrictions on foreign NGOs, media agencies, and human rights organisations in the Papuan provinces have constrain access and information. ?