Crisis Severity The severity score from 1 to 5 is based on 31 indicators aggregated into 3 pillars (impact, conditions, and complexity)1.90 Very lowVery high 5
Impact This measures the impact of the crisis itself, in terms of the scope of its geographical, and human effects.3.10 Very lowVery high 5
Humanitarian Conditions This measures the conditions and status of the people affected, including info about the distribution of severity.1.00 Very lowVery high 5
Complexity This measures the complexity of the crisis, in terms of factors that affect its mitigation or resolution.2.70 Very lowVery high 5
Access Constraints This measures the level of humanitarian access constraints.2.0No constraintsExtreme constraints
Widespread insecurity, high levels of violence, and food insecurity have displaced many people inside and across Honduras’ borders. An estimated 190,000 Hondurans are internally displaced due to conflict and violence, and 124,818 have filled for asylum applications between 2007 and 2017. ?
In October 2018, between 7,000 and 10,000 migrants left Honduras, El Salvador, and Guatemala to form two large caravans and multiple smaller groups travelling by foot towards the United States border. A smaller caravan headed North between 14 and 30 January 2019. Migrants are on the move to escape violence and persecution, improve their economic situation, or be reunited with their families. Around 12,600 migrants have crossed borders or are now residing irregularly in Guatemala or Mexico. ?
Honduras is part of Central America’s ‘Dry Corridor’ and experiences irregular rainfall and prolonged periods of drought, leading to major crop losses and food insecurity. An El Niño episode is expected to affect Honduras in the first seven months of 2019, exacerbating an already precarious food security and nutrition situation, especially for rural communities. ?
As of 29 July, Honduras reported 33,840 cases, including 8,660 for severe dengue and 150 deaths; 26 (out of 32) public hospitals in the country are reportedly overrun by the volumes of cases. The Government doesn't rule out the possibility of accomodating patients in public schools. The rainy season which will last until November will likely increase the presence of mosquitos increasing the risk of further infection. ?
Food Security and livelihoods: The arrival of an El Niño episode in the beginning of 2019 leading to below average rains will have an impact on food availability, in particular for impoverished rural communities relying on agricultural livelihoods. ?
Protection: High levels of gang-violence and other criminal activities drive displacement in the Northern Triangle, where homicide rates are among the highest in the world. ?