Date

Country

Intercommunal tensions between IDPs and host communities in Lebanon result in localised clashes and further displacement

Risk type

Date

Country

The escalation of political and armed conflict in Southwest state leads to large‑scale displacement and worsens humanitarian conditions

Risk type

Date

Country

The US/Israel–Iran escalation affecting the Strait of Hormuz drives conflict, food insecurity, livelihood collapse, and protection risks in Iraq

Risk type

Date

Country

The Israel/US conflict with Iran results in economic deterioration and political instability, increasing humanitarian needs in Jordan

Risk type

Date

Country

A contested April 2026 electoral process in Libya heightens localised armed clashes, displacement, and service disruptions

Risk type

Date

Country

Potential Hezbollah–Israel escalation related to Israeli/United States attack on Iran results in increased internal displacement, cross-border movements, and worsening food insecurity

Risk type

Date

Country

Worsening energy shortages and US pressure lead to essential service disruptions and rising humanitarian needs in Cuba

Risk type

Date

Country

Potential Red Sea disruptions from a US–Iran conflict reduce foreign currency earnings, heighten food insecurity, and disrupt services across Egypt

Risk type

Date

Country

Water scarcity, especially in northeast and northwest Syria result in livelihoods and services’ disruptions, reduced food production and protests 

Risk type

Date

Country

Further Israeli expansion in southern Syria triggers armed group resistance, displacement, and heightened food insecurity

Risk type