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latest RISK Updates

Active
Low
Date
10-11-2026
Countries
Eritrea, Ethiopia

Interstate conflict between Eritrea and Ethiopia significantly increases humanitarian needs across the Northern Horn of Africa

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis
Active
High
Date
10-11-2026
Country
Somalia

Sustained armed clashes between federal forces and opposition-aligned forces, including in Mogadishu and Bay region, worsen displacement and humanitarian needs ahead of the 2027 federal elections

Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
Medium
Date
02-11-2026
Country
Iran

Escalating clashes between Baloch armed groups and Iranian forces spread into populated areas of Sistan and Baluchestan, causing civilian casualties, displacement, and livelihood disruptions

Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
Medium
Date
05-10-2026
Country
Niger

Post-mutiny divisions in Niger's army enable JNIM and ISSP expansion across Tillabéri, Tahoua, and Dosso, driving displacement and restricting humanitarian access

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis
Active
High
Date
02-10-2026
Country
Palestine

Accelerated implementation of the E1 settlement plan results in demolitions, displacement of Bedouin communities, and access constraints

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis

ALL ACTIVE RISKs

Click below to see all active risks All risks
Active
Low
Date
10-11-2026
Countries
Eritrea, Ethiopia

Interstate conflict between Eritrea and Ethiopia significantly increases humanitarian needs across the Northern Horn of Africa

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis
Active
High
Date
10-11-2026
Country
Somalia

Sustained armed clashes between federal forces and opposition-aligned forces, including in Mogadishu and Bay region, worsen displacement and humanitarian needs ahead of the 2027 federal elections

Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
Medium
Date
02-11-2026
Country
Iran

Escalating clashes between Baloch armed groups and Iranian forces spread into populated areas of Sistan and Baluchestan, causing civilian casualties, displacement, and livelihood disruptions

Risk type
New emerging risk
Active
Medium
Date
05-10-2026
Country
Niger

Post-mutiny divisions in Niger's army enable JNIM and ISSP expansion across Tillabéri, Tahoua, and Dosso, driving displacement and restricting humanitarian access

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis
Active
High
Date
02-10-2026
Country
Palestine

Accelerated implementation of the E1 settlement plan results in demolitions, displacement of Bedouin communities, and access constraints

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis
Active
High
Date
02-10-2026
Country
Mozambique

Sustained military pressure in Cabo Delgado drives Islamic State Mozambique attacks on less-exposed communities in Niassa and northern Nampula, causing localised displacement, abductions, and livelihood loss

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis
Active
High
Date
04-09-2026
Country
Indonesia

Intensifying forest and peatland fires across Indonesia cause prolonged hazardous haze, health impacts, and education, transport, and livelihood disruptions

Risk type
Future impact of a hazard which has already taken place
Active
High
Date
04-09-2026
Country
Myanmar

Military operations to secure the Dawei Special Economic Zone cause further forced displacement and severe protection risks in Dawei district, Tanintharyi region

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis
Active
Medium
Date
03-09-2026
Country
Syria

Renewed violence in As Sweida or settler outpost establishment drives Israeli expansion in southern Syria, displacing civilians and restricting access

Risk type
Marked deterioration in an existing crisis
Active
High
Date
03-09-2026
Country
Afghanistan

Escalating clashes between Interim Taliban Authority forces and armed opposition groups in Badakhshan deteriorates food security and increases protection risks

Risk type
New emerging risk