Crisis Severity The severity score from 1 to 5 is based on 31 indicators aggregated into 3 pillars (impact, conditions, and complexity)0 Very lowVery high 5
Impact This measures the impact of the crisis itself, in terms of the scope of its geographical, and human effects.2.30 Very lowVery high 5
Humanitarian Conditions This measures the conditions and status of the people affected, including info about the distribution of severity.0 Very lowVery high 5
Complexity This measures the complexity of the crisis, in terms of factors that affect its mitigation or resolution.1.70 Very lowVery high 5
Access Constraints This measures the level of humanitarian access constraints.No constraintsExtreme constraints
Armenia and Azerbaijan: Conflict in Nagorno-Karabakh
On 27 September, heavy fighting broke out between Azeri and Armenian forces in and around the contested region of Nagorno-Karabakh. The region is recognised as part of Azerbaijan but is de-facto controlled by an ethnic Armenian administration.?
On 9 November, Armenia and Azerbaijan signed a Russian-brokered ceasefire. Under its provisions, Armenia will return Aghdam, Kelbajar, and Lachin districts, along with parts of Gazakh district, to Azerbaijan. Azerbaijan will maintain control over territory gained in Nagorno-Karabakh during the latest conflict. Russian peacekeepers will be deployed in the remaining areas of Nagorno-Karabakh and along the Lachin corridor that connects Stepanakert to Armenia. The deal also calls for the return of IDPs and refugees to Nagorno-Karabakh, without providing any further details.?
25km from the border with Nagorno-Karabakh, Goris is receiving thousands of spontaneous arrivals from Stepanakert. Yerevan has also received arrivals from Nagorno-Karabakh. 90,000 ethnic Armenians are reported to have fled from Nagorno-Karabakh into Armenia.?
Specific information on the needs of spontaneous arrivals in Nagorno-Karabakh is not yet available, although cold winter weather is likely to make shelter and NFIs a key priority.? As people continue to arrive, increasingly overcrowded communal spaces used for shelter will present higher risks of COVID-19 transmission.
No significant recent humanitarian developments. This crisis is being monitored by our analysis team.
ACAPS' team is daily monitoring the impact of COVID-19. Find more information related to the outbreak here.