Indonesia
Country information
Violent crackdown on protests and insurgency, and rising ethnic tensions after the announced division of Papua province result in increased displacement and protection needs in West Papua territory
Probability
Highly unlikely
Somewhat likely
Highly likely
Briefing notes
Indonesia: Lombok Earthquake
On 5 August, a 7.0 magnitude earthquake struck the island of Lombok in Indonesia, with its epicentre located inland in North Lombok. The area had already been impacted by a 6.4 magnitude earthquake on 29 July, with its epicentre in East Lombok. On 9 August, the island was again hit by a 6.2 magnitude earthquake, creating panic among the population and further hindering the rescue efforts. The three earthquakes were followed by a number of strong aftershocks causing widespread structural damage to shelter and public infrastructure, injuring some 2,000 people and killing at least 279 people. Data regarding displacement is ongoing but preliminary reports indicate that over 270,168 displaced people are in need of food, water, shelter, and health assistance. At least 64,534 houses have been damaged.
Briefing notes
Indonesia: Floods
Between 31 December 2019 and 1 January 2020, the Northeast monsoon brought rainfall to Indonesia leading to heavy flooding across the Greater Jakarta area including parts of West Java, Banten, and DKIJakarta provinces. 74 districts and 293 sub-districts in the provinces were hit by flooding and the mayorsof 12 affected cities and regencies declared emergency status.14,000 people were reportedly displaced on the 8 January, down from previous days' estimates. The figure as of 10 January has gone up to 28,000, particularly related to displacement in Bogor Regency, West Java. The displaced are spread across 60 emergency shelters. 1,600 houses across the three provinces were damaged by the flooding and many homeswere submerged. Villages in Banten province were destroyed. Some settlements near rivers are inundatedor covered in mud and/or debris.
Briefing notes
Indonesia: Earthquake in West Java province
On 21 November 2022, an earthquake measuring 5.6 on the Ritcher scale occurred at a depth of 10km in the West Java province of Indonesia. The epicentre of the earthquake was located 10km southwest of Cianjur regency. Cianjur regency is in the western part of Java island, near Jakarta (the capital of Indonesia) and Bandung (the capital of West Java province). It has 2.4 million inhabitants, and most of its population live from micro-industrial processes and local industries. West Java is the second most densely populated province in Indonesia, just after Jakarta, with 1,369 people per square kilometre.
Briefing notes
Indonesia: Earthquake and Tsunami
Several earthquakes struck Central Sulawesi province from 28–29 September. The strongest earthquake had a magnitude of 7.5 and triggered a tsunami that hit land at a speed of 800 kph with waves of up to 6m. Around 42,000 people have been displaced and 1,200 people killed, with these numbers expected to continue rising rapidly. At least, 300,000 people were exposed to category 5-8 shaking, while up to 1.5 million people who live in the area may be affected.
Briefing notes
Indonesia: Earthquake and Tsunami Update
Several earthquakes struck Central Sulawesi province from 28–29 September. The strongest had a magnitude of 7.5 and triggered a tsunami that hit land at a speed of 800km per hour with waves of up to 6m. Land liquefaction caused by the earthquake also had serious humanitarian consequences as the fate of two villages with approximately 5,000 residents remains uncertain. At least 74,000 people have been displaced and 2,010 people have died, and these numbers continue to rise. At least 616,000 people have been affected.
Anticipatory analysis
CrisisInSight: Quarterly Risk Analysis
The objective of ACAPS Quarterly risk analysis is to enable humanitarian decision makers to understand potential future changes that would likely have humanitarian consequences. By exposing the more probable developments and understanding their impact, they can be included in planning and preparedness which should improve response. At ACAPS, risk analysis enables us to:
• ensure our monitoring of countries and crises is forward-looking and our consequent analysis more informed;
• gain advance warning about countries and crises on which we ought to report in more depth;
• respond to specific requests for risk reports.
All of which aim to inform the ACAPS audience, and thus the humanitarian community, of likely future events.
Anticipatory analysis
Humanitarian perspectives 2019/2020
Each year we take stock of our work and put together an annual report – you may have noticed we have published a variety of formats and layouts over the years, very much reflecting our own internal learning and evolution. This year we chose to provide four different perspectives on the global humanitarian situation. Within these pages you will find a comparative analyses of 14 of the major humanitarian situations with respect to the affected populations, people in need and humanitarian access; an analysis of three highly complex and evolving regional crises the sector grappled with over the year; and a spotlight on three severe crises that did not get sufficient attention in 2019. Finally, as the year comes to a close, we have identified a number of risks that may lead to a significant deterioration of particular crises in 2020. We hope you will find these perspectives informative and useful in your planning for 2020.
Thematic reports
Humanitarian Access Overview
ACAPS Humanitarian Access Overview provides a snapshot of the most challenging contexts to operate. More than 60 countries are not receiving the humanitarian assistance they need because of access constraints. Indonesia, Italy, Malaysia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Senegal, Spain, Indonesia, Italy, and Timor-Leste have entered the ranking since the last Humanitarian Access Overview released in December 2020. Among the indicators, ‘restrictions and obstruction to services and assistance’ and ‘physical and environmental constraints’ are the most common challenges.
Access the full Humanitarian Access Dataset here, visit the interactive dashboard here.
Forward-Looking
Identifying potential future changes
Risk
ACAPS Global Risk Analysis outlines a number of key contexts where a notable deterioration may occur within the next six months, leading to a spike in humanitarian needs.