• Crisis Severity ?
    3.0
    0 Very low
    Very high 5
  • Impact ?
    3.7
    0 Very low
    Very high 5
  • Humanitarian Conditions ?
    2.5
    0 Very low
    Very high 5
  • Complexity ?
    3.3
    0 Very low
    Very high 5
  • Access Constraints ?
    3.0
    No constraints
    Extreme constraints

Key figures

  • 3,960,000 People displaced [?]

Risk

Nearing general elections and economic hardship trigger a renewed military incursion of Türkiye into northern Syria, resulting in displacement and urgent humanitarian and protection needs Latest update: 19/10/2022

Probability

Highly unlikely Somewhat likely Highly likely

Impact

Very low Moderate Major