• Undetermined severity
  • Very low severity (0-1)
  • Low severity (1.1-2)
  • Medium severity (2.1-3)
  • High severity (3.1-4)
  • Very high severity (4.1-5)
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Risks

Afghanistan High

A severe economic crisis, harsh winter and disruption of aid and winterisation support the increase in food insecurity and malnutrition until July-August

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Myanmar High

Heightened military response following increased territorial control of and collaboration among anti-military resistance forces results in intensified conflict across most of the country, leading to a deterioration of the humanitarian situation

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State of Palestine High

New proposed legislation and evictions planned by Israel cause an uprising and violence in the West Bank, with potential of spillover in Gaza, affecting Palestinians’ livelihoods and humanitarian conditions and generating heightened protection concerns

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Peru Medium

Continued protests and mobility restrictions affect the living conditions of economically vulnerable population groups, worsening their overall living conditions

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Zimbabwe Medium

Electoral violence, compounded by the deepening economic crisis, leads to protection incidents and increased food insecurity across the country

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Nigeria Medium

High inflation and economic disruptions contribute to worsening food insecurity countrywide

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Syria Medium

Involuntary mass returns of Syrians refugees from Türkiye results in displacement, increased protection needs and deterioration in the humanitarian situation in Northwest Syria

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Pakistan Medium

Pakistan’s prolonged economic crisis and stalling of the bailout programme result in increased poverty and social unrest, leading to heightened food insecurity and protection concerns

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DRC Medium

The expansion of the areas under the control of the 23 March Movement (M23) in North-Kivu causes increased violence targeting Rwandophone communities, resulting in displacement and protection needs

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Tunisia Low

A political deadlock and economic deterioration increase protests and civil strikes, leading to clashes between civilians and security forces and increased food and livelihood needs, especially in central western governorates

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Azerbaijan Low

Escalation of conflict between Armenian and Azerbaijan in Nagorno-Karabakh triggered by the Lachin corridor blockade results in population displacement and increased humanitarian needs

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Crisis severity

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Full severity index
06/06/2023

The INFORM Severity Index summarises a wide range of already existing, quantitative information about crisis severity and presents it in a format that can be used more easily in decision-making. It aggregates information from a range of credible, publicly available sources. Human analysts collect the data and enter it into the Index.

Any questions? Please contact us info@acaps.org

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Quarterly Trends report
31/07/2021

ACAPS analysis team is working in identifying key changes and trends in the humanitarian situation during the data collection.

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Quarterly risks report
23/03/2023

The ACAPS Quarterly risk analysis outlines a number of key contexts where a notable deterioration may occur within the next six months, leading to a spike in humanitarian needs.

The objective of ACAPS risk analysis is to enable humanitarian decision makers to understand potential future changes that would likely have humanitarian consequences.

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Humanitarian access
15/12/2022

ACAPS considered nine variables (under three pillars or dimensions) to compare humanitarian access constraints across 82 countries with active humanitarian crises. In this report, there is an analytical narrative per pillar, with an explanation of what type of humanitarian access constraints and indicators fall under each pillar. The narratives include concrete examples of how these constraints apply in different humanitarian contexts, pointing out similarities and differences in the humanitarian access situation across the crises monitored by ACAPS.

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The ACAPS Risk List

An all new tool to support early warning.

This dataset contains risks identified by our analysts in their daily monitoring of more than 100 crises worldwide. 

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