On 14 February 2021, Guinea’s Health Minister officially declared an outbreak of Ebola in N’Zérékoré prefecture. As at 28 March, there had been a total of 14 confirmed cases, four probable cases, and nine deaths, and no new cases had been reported since 4 March. Dubréka, Ratoma, Coyah, Dixinn, and Matoto sub-prefectures were on alert after a confirmed case travelled to and was hospitalised in Conakry.
An analysis of the genome taken from samples from the latest outbreak showed that it is directly linked to cases from the 2014–2016 Ebola outbreak in West Africa, indicating that this outbreak’s first case was likely infected by a survivor from the previous outbreak.
The existing COVID-19 response also provided baseline epidemic control and hygiene measures prior to the 2021 Ebola outbreak, and the current Ebola response initially took advantage of COVID-19 coordination structures.
The data is down to sub-prefecture level and the data frequency is approx. daily since 15/02/21. The data has been extracted from the Government of Guinea situation reports, available from Relief Web, and the dataset is updated approx. weekly. – it is available here.
These scenarios consider how migration dynamics within and via West and North Africa (including across the Mediterranean Sea) might evolve in the first half of 2019 and the potential humanitarian consequences.
These scenarios are not attempts to predict the future. Rather, they describe situations that could occur in the coming six months, and are designed to highlight the possible impacts and humanitarian consequences associated with each scenario. The aim is to support strategic planning, create awareness and promote preparedness activities for policymakers and other actors working on migration. The time frame is until June 2019 although the scenarios may remain valid some months longer.
ACAPS has developed these scenarios for the Mixed Migration Centre (MMC) under the DFID-funded Safety, Support and Solutions – Phase 2 programme.